It’s been a while since I provided an update on CNN’s (mine) Fear & Greed Index. So, let’s do it! The headline number of 38 is 11 points off the low of 27 set on 9/16. The stock market is up a bit in that time, too, but are we feeling less fearful? The stocks …
Read in context ›Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP)
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15 mentionsFeeling Less Fearful? Or Just Complacent? In Case You Missed It: Deteriorating Breadth For those that celebrated the Jewish holiday I wanted to repost two columns from Monday. The first column is on the deteriorating breadth, updated for yesterday’s performance: Not Broadening * As previously noted (repeatedly by myself and The Divine Ms M), the market is narrowing — with the Russell not crowing and the equal weighted S&P …
Read in context ›Not Broadening * As previously noted (repeatedly by myself and The Divine Ms M), the market is narrowing — with the Russell not crowing and the equal weighted S&P Index (RSP) rolling over * Given the narrowing and the valuation model discussion in my upcoming opener, I am planning to expand my short book on the recent …
Read in context ›We’re Often Wrong, But We Got This One Right I am often wrong and always in doubt. Unlike so many “tallking heads” on CNBC and so many anonymous Tweeps we get it wrong a lot. (And unlike most of them, who spend most of their time polishing their images, I take ownership of my investment boners.) We Got This One Right But, as noted …
Read in context ›The Market Outlook Worsens * I believe we have seen the high in most averages for the year. * Risks are underappreciated. * Downside market risk currently dwarfs upside reward — perhaps materially so… What follows is a combination of Diary posts and communications to my Limited Partners at Seabreeze: I remain net short (about 15%) in exposure. Given that …
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